Economic Intelligence | Any Geography

Frederick County, VA

Welcome to Frederick County.

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Frederick County has a population of 92 thousand and a total area (land and water combined) of 415.4 square miles.

Total GDP for the county increased 34%, in the five years ending in 2022, to reach $8.6 billion.

Between 2000 and 2024 presidential elections, Frederick County voted for Republican candidates six out of six times and never voted for a Democratic candidate.

Frederick County comprises Winchester, VA-WV metropolitan area.

The largest city in the county is Stephens City.

Surrounding counties and county equivalents include: Clarke County, Shenandoah County, Warren County, Winchester city, Berkeley County, Hampshire County, Hardy County, Jefferson County, and Morgan County.

Presidential Election

🔵 Democrat    🔴 Republican

Election Year
Candidates (Party)*
Votes (% Total)Landslide
Scale**
🔵🔴
2000
🔴George W. Bush
🔵Al Gore
31.97%65.09%++
2004
🔴George W. Bush
🔵John Kerry
31.02%67.93%++
2008
🔵Barack Obama
🔴John McCain
38.56%59.95%++
2012
🔵Barack Obama
🔴Mitt Romney
34.87%62.81%++
2016
🔴Donald Trump
🔵Hillary Clinton
29.51%64.5%++
2020
🔵Joe Biden
🔴Donald Trump
35.32%62.73%+
2024
🔴Donald Trump
🔵Kamala Harris
Notes:
*Presidential Tickets
2000 (R) George W. Bush & Dick Cheney; (D) Al Gore & Joe Lieberman
2004 (R) George W. Bush & Dick Cheney; (D)John Kerry & John Edwards
2008 (D) Barack Obama & Joe Biden; (R) John McCain & Sarah Palin
2012 (D) Barack Obama & Joe Biden; (R) Mitt Romney & Paul Ryan
2016 (R) Donald Trump & Mike Pence; (D) Hillary Clinton & Tim Kaine
2020 (D) Joe Biden & Kamala Harris; (R) Donald Trump & Mike Pence
2024 (R) Donald Trump & JD Vance; (D) Kamala Harris & Tim Waltz
**Landslide Scale (county)
+ Victory margin was less than 20 percent
++ Victory margin was between 20 to 49 percentage points of more votes
+++ Victory margin was more than half but below three quarters
++++ Victory margin was three quarters or more

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Economic Significance

Key IndustryAs %
County GDP
GDP
Growth*
County GDP1100%34%
Government
Enterprises
13%27%
Private Industries87%35%
Agriculture<1%0%
Mining<1%0%
Utilities<1%31%
Construction<1%0%
Manufacturing20%24%
– Durable4%19%
– Nondurable16%25%
Trade11%0%
– Wholesale3%0%
– Retail9%40%
Transportation4%135%
Information1%23%
Finance & Insurance5%69%
Real Estate11%0%
Professional &
Business Services
8%36%
Educational Services1%19%
Healthcare &
Social Services
11%23%
Arts, Recreation &
Entertainment
<1%73%
Accommodation &
Food Services
3%36%
Other Services22%52%
Notes:
*Growth rates are based on most recent five-year value available and are updated dynamically
1. All industry total. GDP data includes Frederick and Winchester
2. Includes various repairs, maintenance, personal care, religious organizations, social and professional organizations etc.

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Local Vibrancy

Total*Vibrancy
Indicator
(1-100)**
🚙 Automobile Dealers2079
🪑 Furniture &
Home Furnishings
956
📺 Electronics & Appliance444
🛒 Grocery Stores2478
🍾 Beer, Wine & Liquor Stores552
⚕️ Health & Personal Care1060
⛽ Gasoline Stations2978
👕 Clothing Stores
👠 Shoe Stores
🧳 Luggage, Leather Goods & Jewelry
🏸 Sporting Goods442
📚 Book Stores & News Dealers
🏬 Department Stores1267
💐 Florists
🎁 Gift, Novelty & Souvenir Shops334
🐕 Pet & Pet Supplies 446
🍺 Bars & Taverns
🍽️ Full-service restaurants4777
🍔 Limited-service restaurants5176
🏠 Offices of Real Estate Agents & Brokers2972
🛏️ Traveler Accommodation2281
Notes:
* Total counts of establishments are places of business.
** Vibrancy score is based on comparisons of relevant establishments per square mile of land area among all counties and county equivalents in the United States; A score of 100 means the county is in the top one percentile.

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Wealth Indicators

Household Income by Distribution
As % County’s
Total Household Income
Average Household Income
Maximum Household Income
Top 5%123%$420,700 N/A
Top 20%50%$225,300 $226,900
Next highest 20%23%$102,100 $122,900
Middle 20%15%$67,000 $82,000
Second lowest 20%9%$40,700 $53,900
Bottom 20%3%$14,100 $26,300
Notes:
1. Households with aggregate income above 95% of all households in the county
% Total
Households
Average Household
Income*
Wages & Salaries63%$87,400
Self-Employment10%$54,300
Investment Income121%$25,900
Social Security46%$22,900
Supplemental Security7%$10,300
Public Assistance3%Below $10,000
Retirement30%$35,200
Notes:
* Calculation based on households claim to have specific source of income; Households may have more than one source of income
1Includes interest, dividends, and net rental income

Under
25*
Age 25
to 49*
Age 50
to 64*
Age 65
& Older*
Below
$25K
<1%2%2%5%
$25K
– $49K
1%4%4%6%
$50K
– $99K
1%9%11%10%
$100K
– $199K
<1%12%16%6%
$200K
& more
<1%3%6%2%
Notes:
* Age of heads of households

 

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Median Earnings by Worker Characteristics
Race/EthnicityMaleFemale
Non-Hispanic White$50,300 $30,300
African-American$34,600 $27,500
Hispanic$34,000
Asian$61,200 $13,900
Level of Education MaleFemale
Below Highschool$36,600 $16,300
Highschool & GED$46,500 $26,900
Some College to
Associate’s
$60,000 $35,700
College/Bachelor’s
Degree
$80,500 $47,900
Graduate Degree$79,600 $63,000
OccupationMaleFemale
White-Collar1$82,300 $48,900
STEM2$101,300 $73,600
Gray-Collar3$53,400 $49,000
Pink-Collar4$48,400 $12,600
Sales5$50,800 $17,300
Blue-Collar6$45,400 $16,600
Notes:
1. Management, business, science, and arts occupations
2. Computer, engineering, and science occupations
3. Protective service occupations including firefighters and law enforcement
4. Personal care and service occupations
5. Sales and sales related
6.Production, transportation, and material moving occupations

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Climate Risks

Disaster CategoryNatural Hazard
Risk Rating
Annual Loss
Per Capita
Avalanche
Coastal Flooding
Cold Waves+$
Drought+$
Earthquake+$
Hail+$
Heat Waves+$
Hurricane+$
Ice Storm+
Landslide+$
Lightning+$
Riverine Flooding+$
Strong Wind+$
Tornado+$
Tsunami
Volcanic Activity
Wildfires+$
Winter Weather+$
Notes:
Locations with insufficient data or not rated are left blank.
+: Very low to Relatively low risk ratings
++: Relatively moderate
+++: Relatively high
++++: Very high
$: Expected per capita annual loss from the natural disaster is below $100
$$: $100-499
$$$: $500-999
$$$$: $1,000 and more

 

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